Track record

Every model prediction is saved before kickoff with its price, projection, probability and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited after the fact. Current model v2.0.0.

Live verified recordEstablished sample

Last graded Oct 5, 5:57 AM

RECORD

275–233

508 graded

54.1%

+22.46

1 unit per prediction

+4.4%

+0.6%

STREAK

30 pending

Rated Value or better only: 56–47 · +5.71uDeveloping sample

Sep 29Cumulative units, 1 unit per predictionOct 5

Every prediction is timestamped and saved before kickoff with its price, projection and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited or removed after.

500 verified predictions reached. Next milestone: 1,000 graded (492 to go).

Past performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.

By prop typebest and worst, nothing hidden

Receiving yardsDeveloping sample

106–86

55.2%+4.8% ROICLV -0.0%

ReceptionsDeveloping sample

104–87

54.5%+7.9% ROICLV +1.1%

Rushing yardsEarly results

53–42

55.8%+5.7% ROICLV +0.1%

Passing yardsEarly results

12–18

40.0%-24.1% ROICLV -0.0%

Small sample sizes. Prop types with under 100 graded predictions haven't shown long-term performance yet; a few results either way swing these numbers a lot.

Closing line value282 with a comparable close

compares the price saved before the game with the market's final price at the same line. Beating the close consistently is one of the best signs a model finds value before the market does, and it shows up long before win rates settle.

Avg CLV

+0.6%

Beat the close

42%

of graded predictions

NFL CLV

+0.6%

282 graded

Breakdownmarket / prop type

Group	Graded	W–L–P	Win rate	Units	ROI	Avg edge	Avg proj. error	Avg CLV
Passing yards	30	12–18	40.0%	-7.24u	-24.1%	-0.3%	79.9	-0.0%
Receiving yards	192	106–86	55.2%	+9.23u	+4.8%	+0.1%	23.4	-0.0%
Receptions	191	104–87	54.5%	+15.04u	+7.9%	+0.5%	1.7	+1.1%
Rushing yards	95	53–42	55.8%	+5.43u	+5.7%	+0.3%	17.9	+0.1%

Calibration

When the model says 60%, it should win about 60% of the time. Actual below predicted means overconfident; above means underconfident. A bucket needs 50+ results before its gap means much.

Predicted	Graded	Avg predicted	Actual	Gap
Under 50%	90	44.7%	52.2%	+7.5%
50–54%	324	52.7%	53.1%	+0.4%
55–59%	64	56.7%	57.8%	+1.1%
60–64%	20	62.7%	75.0%	+12.3%
65–69%	9	66.5%	33.3%	-33.1%
70%+	1	70.3%	100.0%	+29.7%

Bar: actual win rate. Green tick: average predicted probability.

Backtest a selection rule

Replays only predictions saved before their games started, so a rule can't use information that didn't exist at bet time. Uses the sport, market, model and dates above.

Every prediction251–300 of 567

Josh Allen Under 242.5 passing yardsLoss · 253
-113 DraftKingsProj 233.853.6%EV +1.1%Lean
Patriots@Bills · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Devin Singletary Over 5.5 rushing yardsVoid
-120 BetMGMProj 2256.3%EV +3.2%Value
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Matthew Stafford Over 0.5 rushing yardsWin · 10
-115 theScore BetProj 2.651.9%EV -3.0%Pass
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Tank Bigsby Over 10.5 rushing yardsWin · 55
-112 DraftKingsProj 20.951.0%EV -3.4%Pass
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Kyren Williams Over 57.5 rushing yardsWin · 80
-112 DraftKingsProj 68.654.8%EV +3.7%Value
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Johnny Mundt Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 0
-190 theScore BetProj 167.3%EV +2.7%Lean
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Zach Ertz Over 1.5 receptionsWin · 2
+105 DraftKingsProj 3.151.2%EV +4.9%Value
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Zach Ertz Over 10.5 receiving yardsWin · 13
-109 DraftKingsProj 31.754.5%EV +4.5%Value
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Kyren Williams Over 14.5 receiving yardsWin · 67
-112 DraftKingsProj 24.555.1%EV +4.4%Value
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
MarShawn Lloyd Under 24.5 rushing yardsWin · 13
-115 BetMGMProj 21.954.1%EV +1.2%Lean
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
MarShawn Lloyd Under 5.5 receiving yardsLoss · 36
-110 theScore BetProj 4.553.1%EV +1.4%Lean
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Kenny Gainwell Under 15.5 rushing yardsWin · 5
-110 theScore BetProj 20.454.5%EV +4.1%Value
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
MarShawn Lloyd Over 1.5 receptionsWin · 5
+144 FanDuelProj 1.439.2%EV -4.4%Pass
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Emeka Egbuka Over 38.5 receiving yardsLoss · 13
-113 DraftKingsProj 48.850.6%EV -4.7%Pass
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Jalon Daniels Under 170.5 passing yardsWin · 148
-113 DraftKingsProj 10.751.9%EV -2.2%Pass
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Xavier Hutchinson Over 29.5 receiving yardsWin · 46
-105 theScore BetProj 35.650.5%EV -1.4%Pass
Cowboys@Texans · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Dohnte Meyers Under 18.5 receiving yardsLoss · 82
-115 BetMGMProj 16.254.0%EV +1.0%Lean
Jaguars@Bengals · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Trevor Lawrence Under 260.5 passing yardsWin · 227
-112 DraftKingsProj 22354.8%EV +3.7%Value
Jaguars@Bengals · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Isaiah Davis Under 21.5 rushing yardsWin · 0
-110 theScore BetProj 9.653.3%EV +1.7%Lean
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Kyle Monangai Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 1
-198 DraftKingsProj 1.265.4%EV -1.6%Pass
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Isaiah Davis Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 0
-121 DraftKingsProj 0.756.1%EV +2.4%Lean
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Braelon Allen Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 2
+115 theScore BetProj 1.148.6%EV +4.6%Value
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Kenyon Sadiq Under 4.5 receptionsWin · 0
-148 FanDuelProj 458.3%EV -2.3%Pass
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Isaiah Davis Under 9.5 receiving yardsWin · 0
-108 DraftKingsProj 6.954.7%EV +5.4%Value
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Kenyon Sadiq Under 41.5 receiving yardsWin · 0
-111 DraftKingsProj 48.251.0%EV -3.1%Pass
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Calvin Ridley Over 1.5 receptionsLoss · 1
+182 FanDuelProj 1.534.8%EV -1.8%Pass
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Calvin Ridley Over 6.5 receiving yardsWin · 13
-114 FanDuelProj 25.753.5%EV +0.3%Pass
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Jameis Winston Over 4.5 rushing yardsLoss · 0
-114 FanDuelProj 6.952.0%EV -2.4%Pass
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Isaiah Likely Under 3.5 receptionsLoss · 7
+130 theScore BetProj 442.6%EV -2.0%Pass
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Darnell Mooney Over 19.5 receiving yardsLoss · 0
-114 FanDuelProj 26.152.0%EV -2.4%Pass
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Jameis Winston Under 208.5 passing yardsLoss · 250
-114 FanDuelProj 146.453.6%EV +0.6%Pass
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Kendrick Bourne Under 21.5 receiving yardsVoid
-108 DraftKingsProj 3649.4%EV -4.9%Pass
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Malachi Fields Under 23.5 receiving yardsLoss · 52
-114 DraftKingsProj 24.751.3%EV -3.6%Pass
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Isaiah Likely Under 40.5 receiving yardsLoss · 66
-110 DraftKingsProj 39.554.5%EV +4.0%Lean
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Michael Wilson Under 57.5 receiving yardsLoss · 95
-111 DraftKingsProj 65.951.1%EV -2.9%Pass
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Trevor Lawrence Under 13.5 rushing yardsWin · 0
-114 DraftKingsProj 1750.7%EV -4.8%Pass
Jaguars@Bengals · saved Oct 1, 8:22 AM · v2.0.0
Tyson Bagent Under 14.5 rushing yardsWin · 1
-117 DraftKingsProj 2.453.7%EV -0.5%Pass
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 6:01 AM · v2.0.0
Isaiah Williams Under 2.5 receptionsWin · 2
-108 DraftKingsProj 2.354.3%EV +4.6%Value
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 6:01 AM · v2.0.0
Braelon Allen Under 11.5 receiving yardsWin · 8
-113 DraftKingsProj 4.953.7%EV +1.2%Lean
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 6:01 AM · v2.0.0
Isaiah Williams Under 23.5 receiving yardsLoss · 73
-112 DraftKingsProj 17.454.8%EV +3.7%Value
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 1, 6:01 AM · v2.0.0
Cam Skattebo Under 17.5 receiving yardsWin · 8
-114 DraftKingsProj 21.550.9%EV -4.4%Pass
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 1, 6:01 AM · v2.0.0
Saquon Barkley Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 1
+102 DraftKingsProj 1.750.3%EV +1.7%Lean
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Kyren Williams Over 2.5 receptionsWin · 10
+126 DraftKingsProj 2.846.1%EV +4.2%Value
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Puka Nacua Over 6.5 receptionsWin · 9
+117 DraftKingsProj 7.547.1%EV +2.2%Lean
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Saquon Barkley Under 11.5 receiving yardsWin · 2
-114 FanDuelProj 11.355.2%EV +3.6%Value
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Matthew Stafford Over 251.5 passing yardsWin · 317
-112 DraftKingsProj 288.554.8%EV +3.7%Lean
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Jonnu Smith Over 1.5 receptionsLoss · 1
+168 FanDuelProj 238.7%EV +3.8%Value
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Jonnu Smith Over 7.5 receiving yardsWin · 19
-106 DraftKingsProj 1552.9%EV +2.8%Lean
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Bucky Irving Over 13.5 receiving yardsLoss · 0
-107 DraftKingsProj 24.852.1%EV +0.9%Pass
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Javonte Williams Over 59.5 rushing yardsWin · 62
-114 FanDuelProj 66.551.3%EV -3.7%Pass
Cowboys@Texans · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0

Pick	Odds	Proj	Prob		Rating		Result
Josh Allen Under 242.5 passing yards Patriots@Bills · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	233.8	53.6%	+1.1%	Lean high confidence	-112	Loss · 253
Devin Singletary Over 5.5 rushing yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-120 BetMGM	22	56.3%	+3.2%	Value high confidence	-120	Void
Matthew Stafford Over 0.5 rushing yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-115 theScore Bet	2.6	51.9%	-3.0%	Pass high confidence	-105	Win · 10
Tank Bigsby Over 10.5 rushing yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	20.9	51.0%	-3.4%	Pass high confidence	-107	Win · 55
Kyren Williams Over 57.5 rushing yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	68.6	54.8%	+3.7%	Value high confidence	-113	Win · 80
Johnny Mundt Under 1.5 receptions Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-190 theScore Bet	1	67.3%	+2.7%	Lean high confidence	-190	Win · 0
Zach Ertz Over 1.5 receptions Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	+105 DraftKings	3.1	51.2%	+4.9%	Value high confidence	-115	Win · 2
Zach Ertz Over 10.5 receiving yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-109 DraftKings	31.7	54.5%	+4.5%	Value high confidence	-109	Win · 13
Kyren Williams Over 14.5 receiving yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	24.5	55.1%	+4.4%	Value high confidence	-111	Win · 67
MarShawn Lloyd Under 24.5 rushing yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-115 BetMGM	21.9	54.1%	+1.2%	Lean medium confidence	-115	Win · 13
MarShawn Lloyd Under 5.5 receiving yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	4.5	53.1%	+1.4%	Lean medium confidence	+100	Loss · 36
Kenny Gainwell Under 15.5 rushing yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	20.4	54.5%	+4.1%	Value high confidence	-125	Win · 5
MarShawn Lloyd Over 1.5 receptions Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	+144 FanDuel	1.4	39.2%	-4.4%	Pass medium confidence	+144	Win · 5
Emeka Egbuka Over 38.5 receiving yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	48.8	50.6%	-4.7%	Pass high confidence	-112	Loss · 13
Jalon Daniels Under 170.5 passing yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	10.7	51.9%	-2.2%	Pass low confidence	-111	Win · 148
Xavier Hutchinson Over 29.5 receiving yards Cowboys@Texans · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-105 theScore Bet	35.6	50.5%	-1.4%	Pass high confidence	-105	Win · 46
Dohnte Meyers Under 18.5 receiving yards Jaguars@Bengals · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-115 BetMGM	16.2	54.0%	+1.0%	Lean medium confidence	-115	Loss · 82
Trevor Lawrence Under 260.5 passing yards Jaguars@Bengals · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	223	54.8%	+3.7%	Value high confidence	-111	Win · 227
Isaiah Davis Under 21.5 rushing yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	9.6	53.3%	+1.7%	Lean medium confidence	-120	Win · 0
Kyle Monangai Under 1.5 receptions Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-198 DraftKings	1.2	65.4%	-1.6%	Pass high confidence	+159	Win · 1
Isaiah Davis Under 1.5 receptions Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-121 DraftKings	0.7	56.1%	+2.4%	Lean medium confidence	-138	Win · 0
Braelon Allen Under 1.5 receptions Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	+115 theScore Bet	1.1	48.6%	+4.6%	Value medium confidence	+115	Loss · 2
Kenyon Sadiq Under 4.5 receptions Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-148 FanDuel	4	58.3%	-2.3%	Pass medium confidence	-148	Win · 0
Isaiah Davis Under 9.5 receiving yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-108 DraftKings	6.9	54.7%	+5.4%	Value medium confidence	-112	Win · 0
Kenyon Sadiq Under 41.5 receiving yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	48.2	51.0%	-3.1%	Pass medium confidence	-114	Win · 0
Calvin Ridley Over 1.5 receptions Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	+182 FanDuel	1.5	34.8%	-1.8%	Pass medium confidence	+182	Loss · 1
Calvin Ridley Over 6.5 receiving yards Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	25.7	53.5%	+0.3%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Win · 13
Jameis Winston Over 4.5 rushing yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	6.9	52.0%	-2.4%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Loss · 0
Isaiah Likely Under 3.5 receptions Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	+130 theScore Bet	4	42.6%	-2.0%	Pass high confidence	-160	Loss · 7
Darnell Mooney Over 19.5 receiving yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	26.1	52.0%	-2.4%	Pass high confidence	-113	Loss · 0
Jameis Winston Under 208.5 passing yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	146.4	53.6%	+0.6%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Loss · 250
Kendrick Bourne Under 21.5 receiving yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-108 DraftKings	36	49.4%	-4.9%	Pass high confidence	-113	Void
Malachi Fields Under 23.5 receiving yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	24.7	51.3%	-3.6%	Pass medium confidence	-112	Loss · 52
Isaiah Likely Under 40.5 receiving yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	39.5	54.5%	+4.0%	Lean high confidence	-114	Loss · 66
Michael Wilson Under 57.5 receiving yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	65.9	51.1%	-2.9%	Pass high confidence	-114	Loss · 95
Trevor Lawrence Under 13.5 rushing yards Jaguars@Bengals · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 8:22 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	17	50.7%	-4.8%	Pass high confidence	-114	Win · 0
Tyson Bagent Under 14.5 rushing yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 6:01 AM · model v2.0.0	-117 DraftKings	2.4	53.7%	-0.5%	Pass low confidence	-112	Win · 1
Isaiah Williams Under 2.5 receptions Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 6:01 AM · model v2.0.0	-108 DraftKings	2.3	54.3%	+4.6%	Value high confidence	-101	Win · 2
Braelon Allen Under 11.5 receiving yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 6:01 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	4.9	53.7%	+1.2%	Lean medium confidence	-115	Win · 8
Isaiah Williams Under 23.5 receiving yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 6:01 AM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	17.4	54.8%	+3.7%	Value high confidence	-109	Loss · 73
Cam Skattebo Under 17.5 receiving yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 6:01 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	21.5	50.9%	-4.4%	Pass high confidence	-117	Win · 8
Saquon Barkley Under 1.5 receptions Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	+102 DraftKings	1.7	50.3%	+1.7%	Lean high confidence	-156	Win · 1
Kyren Williams Over 2.5 receptions Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	+126 DraftKings	2.8	46.1%	+4.2%	Value high confidence	+127	Win · 10
Puka Nacua Over 6.5 receptions Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	+117 DraftKings	7.5	47.1%	+2.2%	Lean medium confidence	-117	Win · 9
Saquon Barkley Under 11.5 receiving yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	11.3	55.2%	+3.6%	Value high confidence	-113	Win · 2
Matthew Stafford Over 251.5 passing yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	288.5	54.8%	+3.7%	Lean high confidence	-113	Win · 317
Jonnu Smith Over 1.5 receptions Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	+168 FanDuel	2	38.7%	+3.8%	Value medium confidence	-225	Loss · 1
Jonnu Smith Over 7.5 receiving yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-106 DraftKings	15	52.9%	+2.8%	Lean medium confidence	-109	Win · 19
Bucky Irving Over 13.5 receiving yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-107 DraftKings	24.8	52.1%	+0.9%	Pass high confidence	-118	Loss · 0
Javonte Williams Over 59.5 rushing yards Cowboys@Texans · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	66.5	51.3%	-3.7%	Pass high confidence	-113	Win · 62

Past performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.