Track record

Every model prediction is saved before kickoff with its price, projection, probability and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited after the fact. Current model v2.0.0.

Live verified recordEstablished sample

Last graded Oct 5, 5:57 AM

RECORD

275–233

508 graded

54.1%

+22.46

1 unit per prediction

+4.4%

+0.6%

STREAK

30 pending

Rated Value or better only: 56–47 · +5.71uDeveloping sample

Sep 29Cumulative units, 1 unit per predictionOct 5

Every prediction is timestamped and saved before kickoff with its price, projection and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited or removed after.

500 verified predictions reached. Next milestone: 1,000 graded (492 to go).

Past performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.

By prop typebest and worst, nothing hidden

Receiving yardsDeveloping sample

106–86

55.2%+4.8% ROICLV -0.0%

ReceptionsDeveloping sample

104–87

54.5%+7.9% ROICLV +1.1%

Rushing yardsEarly results

53–42

55.8%+5.7% ROICLV +0.1%

Passing yardsEarly results

12–18

40.0%-24.1% ROICLV -0.0%

Small sample sizes. Prop types with under 100 graded predictions haven't shown long-term performance yet; a few results either way swing these numbers a lot.

Closing line value282 with a comparable close

compares the price saved before the game with the market's final price at the same line. Beating the close consistently is one of the best signs a model finds value before the market does, and it shows up long before win rates settle.

Avg CLV

+0.6%

Beat the close

42%

of graded predictions

NFL CLV

+0.6%

282 graded

Breakdownmarket / prop type

Group	Graded	W–L–P	Win rate	Units	ROI	Avg edge	Avg proj. error	Avg CLV
Passing yards	30	12–18	40.0%	-7.24u	-24.1%	-0.3%	79.9	-0.0%
Receiving yards	192	106–86	55.2%	+9.23u	+4.8%	+0.1%	23.4	-0.0%
Receptions	191	104–87	54.5%	+15.04u	+7.9%	+0.5%	1.7	+1.1%
Rushing yards	95	53–42	55.8%	+5.43u	+5.7%	+0.3%	17.9	+0.1%

Calibration

When the model says 60%, it should win about 60% of the time. Actual below predicted means overconfident; above means underconfident. A bucket needs 50+ results before its gap means much.

Predicted	Graded	Avg predicted	Actual	Gap
Under 50%	90	44.7%	52.2%	+7.5%
50–54%	324	52.7%	53.1%	+0.4%
55–59%	64	56.7%	57.8%	+1.1%
60–64%	20	62.7%	75.0%	+12.3%
65–69%	9	66.5%	33.3%	-33.1%
70%+	1	70.3%	100.0%	+29.7%

Bar: actual win rate. Green tick: average predicted probability.

Backtest a selection rule

Replays only predictions saved before their games started, so a rule can't use information that didn't exist at bet time. Uses the sport, market, model and dates above.

Every prediction201–250 of 567

Tyler Higbee Under 30.5 receiving yardsLoss · 67
-114 DraftKingsProj 34.451.4%EV -3.6%Pass
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 4, 11:07 AM · v2.0.0
Jeremy Ruckert Under 2.5 receptionsVoid
-114 FanDuelProj 2.155.4%EV +4.0%Value
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 3, 8:53 PM · v2.0.0
Jeremy Ruckert Under 18.5 receiving yardsVoid
-110 DraftKingsProj 1554.9%EV +4.8%Value
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 3, 8:53 PM · v2.0.0
Chris Moore Over 8.5 receiving yardsVoid
-102 FanDuelProj 18.751.8%EV +2.5%Lean
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · v2.0.0
Justice Hill Under 17.5 rushing yardsWin · 3
-112 DraftKingsProj 15.955.1%EV +4.4%Lean
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · v2.0.0
Chris Moore Over 0.5 receptionsVoid
-130 FanDuelProj 157.4%EV +1.5%Lean
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · v2.0.0
Derrick Henry Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 2
-175 BetMGMProj 1.164.8%EV +1.8%Lean
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · v2.0.0
Justice Hill Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 2
+100 BetMGMProj 1.352.6%EV +5.2%Value
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · v2.0.0
Justice Hill Under 11.5 receiving yardsLoss · 22
-110 DraftKingsProj 10.254.4%EV +3.9%Value
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · v2.0.0
Tez Johnson Over 9.5 receiving yardsWin · 17
-108 DraftKingsProj 18.652.9%EV +1.8%Lean
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · v2.0.0
Foster Moreau Over 6.5 receiving yardsLoss · 1
-113 NovigProj 1854.3%EV +2.4%Lean
Cowboys@Texans · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · v2.0.0
Travis Hunter Under 4.5 receiving yardsWin · 0
-163 NovigProj 2.665.5%EV +5.7%Value
Jaguars@Bengals · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · v2.0.0
Tyson Bagent Under 199.5 passing yardsLoss · 268
-110 theScore BetProj 62.351.5%EV -1.6%Pass
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · v2.0.0
Jeremiyah Love Under 17.5 receiving yardsWin · -8
+104 NovigProj 14.852.8%EV +7.7%Value
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · v2.0.0
Jacoby Brissett Under 232.5 passing yardsWin · 166
-108 NovigProj 217.753.3%EV +2.7%Lean
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · v2.0.0
Kyle Williams Under 0.5 receptionsWin · 0
+178 DraftKingsProj 0.740.4%EV +12.2%Lean
Patriots@Bills · saved Oct 2, 10:05 PM · v2.0.0
Jeremiyah Love Under 66.5 rushing yardsWin · 63
-110 DraftKingsProj 5553.4%EV +1.9%Lean
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 2, 10:05 PM · v2.0.0
Kenny Gainwell Over 9.5 receiving yardsWin · 22
-105 theScore BetProj 21.353.0%EV +3.5%Lean
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · v2.0.0
Kyle Monangai Over 5.5 receiving yardsLoss · 4
-114 FanDuelProj 11.152.7%EV -1.1%Pass
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · v2.0.0
Rome Odunze Over 32.5 receiving yardsWin · 94
-112 DraftKingsProj 43.151.0%EV -3.4%Pass
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · v2.0.0
Tez Johnson Over 1.5 receptionsWin · 2
+184 DraftKingsProj 1.435.3%EV +0.1%Pass
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Christian Watson Over 67.5 receiving yardsLoss · 47
-111 DraftKingsProj 7951.8%EV -1.4%Pass
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Foster Moreau Over 1.5 receptionsLoss · 1
+163 DraftKingsProj 1.641.0%EV +8.0%Strong value
Cowboys@Texans · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Geno Smith Under 227.5 passing yardsWin · 119
-111 DraftKingsProj 225.452.2%EV -0.9%Pass
Jets@Bears · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Ty Johnson Over 4.5 rushing yardsLoss · 3
-109 DraftKingsProj 12.153.3%EV +2.2%Lean
Patriots@Bills · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Dawson Knox Over 1.5 receptionsWin · 2
+158 FanDuelProj 1.742.2%EV +8.8%Lean
Patriots@Bills · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Dawson Knox Over 9.5 receiving yardsWin · 13
-110 DraftKingsProj 16.650.2%EV -4.2%Pass
Patriots@Bills · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Kyle Williams Under 12.5 receiving yardsWin · 0
-110 DraftKingsProj 13.954.6%EV +4.2%Lean
Patriots@Bills · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Lamar Jackson Under 220.5 passing yardsLoss · 222
-114 FanDuelProj 212.853.5%EV +0.4%Pass
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Tony Pollard Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 2
+140 DraftKingsProj 242.0%EV +0.7%Pass
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Tyjae Spears Under 2.5 receptionsWin · 1
-150 BetMGMProj 2.458.0%EV -3.3%Pass
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Tyjae Spears Under 13.5 receiving yardsWin · -1
-114 DraftKingsProj 1553.9%EV +1.2%Lean
Titans@Ravens · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Elijah Higgins Over 0.5 receptionsWin · 2
-168 DraftKingsProj 1.763.7%EV +1.6%Lean
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Theo Johnson Over 1.5 receptionsLoss · 1
+182 FanDuelProj 1.937.4%EV +5.6%Value
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Elijah Higgins Over 4.5 receiving yardsWin · 19
-112 DraftKingsProj 15.454.6%EV +3.4%Lean
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Theo Johnson Over 8.5 receiving yardsWin · 11
-114 DraftKingsProj 23.753.8%EV +1.0%Lean
Cardinals@Giants · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Darius Cooper Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 3
-109 DraftKingsProj 153.9%EV +3.3%Value
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · v2.0.0
Darius Cooper Under 14.5 receiving yardsLoss · 33
-113 DraftKingsProj 10.854.9%EV +3.5%Value
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · v2.0.0
Johnny Mundt Under 7.5 receiving yardsWin · 0
-110 theScore BetProj 8.851.4%EV -1.9%Pass
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Jalen Hurts Under 197.5 passing yardsWin · 93
-114 FanDuelProj 197.251.8%EV -2.8%Pass
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Puka Nacua Over 77.5 receiving yardsWin · 125
-113 DraftKingsProj 101.953.2%EV +0.3%Pass
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Ted Hurst III Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 2
+147 DraftKingsProj 239.5%EV -2.4%Pass
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Skyy Moore Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 1
+151 DraftKingsProj 1.244.3%EV +11.2%Strong value
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Kenny Gainwell Over 2.5 receptionsLoss · 2
+140 FanDuelProj 3.244.6%EV +6.9%Lean
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Skyy Moore Under 19.5 receiving yardsWin · -2
-114 FanDuelProj 1355.1%EV +3.4%Value
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Ted Hurst III Over 22.5 receiving yardsWin · 25
-111 DraftKingsProj 33.853.5%EV +1.7%Lean
Packers@Buccaneers · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Jaylin Noel Over 12.5 receiving yardsWin · 85
-108 DraftKingsProj 22.151.5%EV -0.7%Pass
Cowboys@Texans · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Dak Prescott Under 266.5 passing yardsLoss · 335
-111 DraftKingsProj 261.552.5%EV -0.2%Pass
Cowboys@Texans · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Josh Cameron Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 2
-207 DraftKingsProj 166.9%EV -0.8%Pass
Jaguars@Bengals · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Josh Cameron Under 9.5 receiving yardsLoss · 42
-114 FanDuelProj 10.552.1%EV -2.3%Pass
Jaguars@Bengals · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0

Pick	Odds	Proj	Prob		Rating		Result
Tyler Higbee Under 30.5 receiving yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 4, 11:07 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	34.4	51.4%	-3.6%	Pass medium confidence	-111	Loss · 67
Jeremy Ruckert Under 2.5 receptions Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 8:53 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	2.1	55.4%	+4.0%	Value high confidence	-160	Void
Jeremy Ruckert Under 18.5 receiving yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 8:53 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	15	54.9%	+4.8%	Value high confidence	-115	Void
Chris Moore Over 8.5 receiving yards Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · model v2.0.0	-102 FanDuel	18.7	51.8%	+2.5%	Lean high confidence	-102	Void
Justice Hill Under 17.5 rushing yards Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	15.9	55.1%	+4.4%	Lean high confidence	-110	Win · 3
Chris Moore Over 0.5 receptions Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · model v2.0.0	-130 FanDuel	1	57.4%	+1.5%	Lean high confidence	-130	Void
Derrick Henry Under 1.5 receptions Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · model v2.0.0	-175 BetMGM	1.1	64.8%	+1.8%	Lean high confidence	-175	Loss · 2
Justice Hill Under 1.5 receptions Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · model v2.0.0	+100 BetMGM	1.3	52.6%	+5.2%	Value high confidence	+100	Loss · 2
Justice Hill Under 11.5 receiving yards Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	10.2	54.4%	+3.9%	Value high confidence	-107	Loss · 22
Tez Johnson Over 9.5 receiving yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · model v2.0.0	-108 DraftKings	18.6	52.9%	+1.8%	Lean medium confidence	-110	Win · 17
Foster Moreau Over 6.5 receiving yards Cowboys@Texans · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 Novig	18	54.3%	+2.4%	Lean medium confidence	-104	Loss · 1
Travis Hunter Under 4.5 receiving yards Jaguars@Bengals · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · model v2.0.0	-163 Novig	2.6	65.5%	+5.7%	Value medium confidence	-156	Win · 0
Tyson Bagent Under 199.5 passing yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	62.3	51.5%	-1.6%	Pass low confidence	-110	Loss · 268
Jeremiyah Love Under 17.5 receiving yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · model v2.0.0	+104 Novig	14.8	52.8%	+7.7%	Value medium confidence	-163	Win · -8
Jacoby Brissett Under 232.5 passing yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · model v2.0.0	-108 Novig	217.7	53.3%	+2.7%	Lean medium confidence	-104	Win · 166
Kyle Williams Under 0.5 receptions Patriots@Bills · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 10:05 PM · model v2.0.0	+178 DraftKings	0.7	40.4%	+12.2%	Lean high confidence	+172	Win · 0
Jeremiyah Love Under 66.5 rushing yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 10:05 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	55	53.4%	+1.9%	Lean medium confidence	-111	Win · 63
Kenny Gainwell Over 9.5 receiving yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · model v2.0.0	-105 theScore Bet	21.3	53.0%	+3.5%	Lean high confidence	-105	Win · 22
Kyle Monangai Over 5.5 receiving yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	11.1	52.7%	-1.1%	Pass high confidence	-113	Loss · 4
Rome Odunze Over 32.5 receiving yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	43.1	51.0%	-3.4%	Pass high confidence	-112	Win · 94
Tez Johnson Over 1.5 receptions Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	+184 DraftKings	1.4	35.3%	+0.1%	Pass high confidence	+187	Win · 2
Christian Watson Over 67.5 receiving yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	79	51.8%	-1.4%	Pass high confidence	-110	Loss · 47
Foster Moreau Over 1.5 receptions Cowboys@Texans · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	+163 DraftKings	1.6	41.0%	+8.0%	Strong value high confidence	+168	Loss · 1
Geno Smith Under 227.5 passing yards Jets@Bears · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	225.4	52.2%	-0.9%	Pass high confidence	-112	Win · 119
Ty Johnson Over 4.5 rushing yards Patriots@Bills · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-109 DraftKings	12.1	53.3%	+2.2%	Lean medium confidence	-120	Loss · 3
Dawson Knox Over 1.5 receptions Patriots@Bills · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	+158 FanDuel	1.7	42.2%	+8.8%	Lean high confidence	+152	Win · 2
Dawson Knox Over 9.5 receiving yards Patriots@Bills · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	16.6	50.2%	-4.2%	Pass high confidence	-118	Win · 13
Kyle Williams Under 12.5 receiving yards Patriots@Bills · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	13.9	54.6%	+4.2%	Lean high confidence	-115	Win · 0
Lamar Jackson Under 220.5 passing yards Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	212.8	53.5%	+0.4%	Pass high confidence	-113	Loss · 222
Tony Pollard Under 1.5 receptions Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	+140 DraftKings	2	42.0%	+0.7%	Pass high confidence	+119	Loss · 2
Tyjae Spears Under 2.5 receptions Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-150 BetMGM	2.4	58.0%	-3.3%	Pass high confidence	-150	Win · 1
Tyjae Spears Under 13.5 receiving yards Titans@Ravens · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	15	53.9%	+1.2%	Lean high confidence	-113	Win · -1
Elijah Higgins Over 0.5 receptions Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-168 DraftKings	1.7	63.7%	+1.6%	Lean high confidence	-149	Win · 2
Theo Johnson Over 1.5 receptions Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	+182 FanDuel	1.9	37.4%	+5.6%	Value medium confidence	+182	Loss · 1
Elijah Higgins Over 4.5 receiving yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	15.4	54.6%	+3.4%	Lean high confidence	-114	Win · 19
Theo Johnson Over 8.5 receiving yards Cardinals@Giants · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	23.7	53.8%	+1.0%	Lean medium confidence	-110	Win · 11
Darius Cooper Under 1.5 receptions Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · model v2.0.0	-109 DraftKings	1	53.9%	+3.3%	Value high confidence	-170	Loss · 3
Darius Cooper Under 14.5 receiving yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	10.8	54.9%	+3.5%	Value high confidence	-109	Loss · 33
Johnny Mundt Under 7.5 receiving yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	8.8	51.4%	-1.9%	Pass high confidence	-110	Win · 0
Jalen Hurts Under 197.5 passing yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	197.2	51.8%	-2.8%	Pass high confidence	-113	Win · 93
Puka Nacua Over 77.5 receiving yards Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	101.9	53.2%	+0.3%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Win · 125
Ted Hurst III Under 1.5 receptions Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	+147 DraftKings	2	39.5%	-2.4%	Pass medium confidence	+130	Loss · 2
Skyy Moore Under 1.5 receptions Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	+151 DraftKings	1.2	44.3%	+11.2%	Strong value high confidence	-117	Win · 1
Kenny Gainwell Over 2.5 receptions Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	+140 FanDuel	3.2	44.6%	+6.9%	Lean high confidence	+144	Loss · 2
Skyy Moore Under 19.5 receiving yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	13	55.1%	+3.4%	Value high confidence	-113	Win · -2
Ted Hurst III Over 22.5 receiving yards Packers@Buccaneers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	33.8	53.5%	+1.7%	Lean medium confidence	-111	Win · 25
Jaylin Noel Over 12.5 receiving yards Cowboys@Texans · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-108 DraftKings	22.1	51.5%	-0.7%	Pass high confidence	-108	Win · 85
Dak Prescott Under 266.5 passing yards Cowboys@Texans · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	261.5	52.5%	-0.2%	Pass high confidence	-112	Loss · 335
Josh Cameron Under 1.5 receptions Jaguars@Bengals · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-207 DraftKings	1	66.9%	-0.8%	Pass medium confidence	-207	Loss · 2
Josh Cameron Under 9.5 receiving yards Jaguars@Bengals · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	10.5	52.1%	-2.3%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Loss · 42

Past performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.