Track record

Every model prediction is saved before kickoff with its price, projection, probability and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited after the fact. Current model v2.0.0.

Live verified recordEstablished sample

Last graded Oct 5, 5:57 AM

RECORD

275–233

508 graded

54.1%

+22.46

1 unit per prediction

+4.4%

+0.6%

STREAK

30 pending

Rated Value or better only: 56–47 · +5.71uDeveloping sample

Sep 29Cumulative units, 1 unit per predictionOct 5

Every prediction is timestamped and saved before kickoff with its price, projection and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited or removed after.

500 verified predictions reached. Next milestone: 1,000 graded (492 to go).

Past performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.

By prop typebest and worst, nothing hidden

Receiving yardsDeveloping sample

106–86

55.2%+4.8% ROICLV -0.0%

ReceptionsDeveloping sample

104–87

54.5%+7.9% ROICLV +1.1%

Rushing yardsEarly results

53–42

55.8%+5.7% ROICLV +0.1%

Passing yardsEarly results

12–18

40.0%-24.1% ROICLV -0.0%

Small sample sizes. Prop types with under 100 graded predictions haven't shown long-term performance yet; a few results either way swing these numbers a lot.

Closing line value282 with a comparable close

compares the price saved before the game with the market's final price at the same line. Beating the close consistently is one of the best signs a model finds value before the market does, and it shows up long before win rates settle.

Avg CLV

+0.6%

Beat the close

42%

of graded predictions

NFL CLV

+0.6%

282 graded

Breakdownmarket / prop type

Group	Graded	W–L–P	Win rate	Units	ROI	Avg edge	Avg proj. error	Avg CLV
Passing yards	30	12–18	40.0%	-7.24u	-24.1%	-0.3%	79.9	-0.0%
Receiving yards	192	106–86	55.2%	+9.23u	+4.8%	+0.1%	23.4	-0.0%
Receptions	191	104–87	54.5%	+15.04u	+7.9%	+0.5%	1.7	+1.1%
Rushing yards	95	53–42	55.8%	+5.43u	+5.7%	+0.3%	17.9	+0.1%

Calibration

When the model says 60%, it should win about 60% of the time. Actual below predicted means overconfident; above means underconfident. A bucket needs 50+ results before its gap means much.

Predicted	Graded	Avg predicted	Actual	Gap
Under 50%	90	44.7%	52.2%	+7.5%
50–54%	324	52.7%	53.1%	+0.4%
55–59%	64	56.7%	57.8%	+1.1%
60–64%	20	62.7%	75.0%	+12.3%
65–69%	9	66.5%	33.3%	-33.1%
70%+	1	70.3%	100.0%	+29.7%

Bar: actual win rate. Green tick: average predicted probability.

Backtest a selection rule

Replays only predictions saved before their games started, so a rule can't use information that didn't exist at bet time. Uses the sport, market, model and dates above.

Every prediction151–200 of 567

Bo Nix Under 19.5 rushing yardsWin · 10
-114 FanDuelProj 16.355.3%EV +3.8%Value
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
RJ Harvey Over 21.5 receiving yardsWin · 68
-114 FanDuelProj 28.151.7%EV -2.9%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Brock Purdy Over 16.5 rushing yardsWin · 29
-111 DraftKingsProj 22.453.9%EV +2.5%Lean
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
J.K. Dobbins Under 59.5 rushing yardsWin · 40
-111 DraftKingsProj 60.551.9%EV -1.3%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Christian McCaffrey Under 64.5 rushing yardsWin · 52
-105 theScore BetProj 60.853.8%EV +5.0%Value
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Pat Bryant Under 2.5 receptionsLoss · 3
-147 DraftKingsProj 2.259.0%EV -0.8%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Evan Engram Under 2.5 receptionsWin · 1
-120 DraftKingsProj 2.355.6%EV +1.9%Lean
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Courtland Sutton Over 3.5 receptionsLoss · 1
+115 theScore BetProj 3.645.1%EV -3.1%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
RJ Harvey Over 3.5 receptionsWin · 10
+102 FanDuelProj 3.949.3%EV -0.4%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Jaylen Waddle Under 4.5 receptionsLoss · 5
-113 DraftKingsProj 3.957.6%EV +8.6%Strong value
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Christian McCaffrey Over 4.5 receptionsLoss · 3
-112 DraftKingsProj 553.3%EV +0.9%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
George Kittle Under 4.5 receptionsWin · 4
+115 theScore BetProj 4.647.9%EV +3.1%Lean
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Evan Engram Under 17.5 receiving yardsWin · 6
-112 DraftKingsProj 21.951.3%EV -2.8%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Pat Bryant Under 22.5 receiving yardsLoss · 47
-110 theScore BetProj 26.850.5%EV -3.6%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Christian McCaffrey Over 38.5 receiving yardsLoss · 18
-112 DraftKingsProj 44.851.0%EV -3.4%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Jaylen Waddle Under 56.5 receiving yardsWin · 35
-111 DraftKingsProj 5454.6%EV +3.8%Value
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
George Kittle Under 64.5 receiving yardsLoss · 70
-110 DraftKingsProj 55.754.6%EV +4.2%Lean
Broncos@49ers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Tai Felton Under 12.5 receiving yardsLoss · 14
+104 NovigProj 0.850.4%EV +2.8%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · v2.0.0
Jauan Jennings Under 26.5 receiving yardsWin · 8
-104 NovigProj 2.151.3%EV +0.6%Pass
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · v2.0.0
Jordan Addison Under 62.5 receiving yardsWin · 52
-114 FanDuelProj 40.554.8%EV +2.9%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · v2.0.0
Ryan Miller Over 6.5 receiving yardsLoss · 0
-109 DraftKingsProj 19.253.3%EV +2.2%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · v2.0.0
Ryan Miller Under 0.5 receptionsWin · 0
+145 DraftKingsProj 0.842.0%EV +2.9%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Ollie Gordon II Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 2
-201 DraftKingsProj 0.966.8%EV -0.0%Pass
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Tai Felton Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 1
-126 DraftKingsProj 0.556.4%EV +1.3%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Kevin Coleman Jr. Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 1
+108 FanDuelProj 0.647.7%EV -0.8%Pass
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Jauan Jennings Under 2.5 receptionsWin · 1
-123 DraftKingsProj 2.256.2%EV +1.9%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Jaylen Wright Under 5.5 receiving yardsWin · 0
-102 FanDuelProj 3.353.1%EV +5.1%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Ollie Gordon II Under 5.5 receiving yardsWin · 0
-103 DraftKingsProj 3.952.6%EV +3.7%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Kevin Coleman Jr. Under 16.5 receiving yardsWin · 3
-112 DraftKingsProj 2.551.8%EV -1.9%Pass
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Jordan Addison Under 4.5 receptionsWin · 4
-147 DraftKingsProj 2.761.2%EV +2.9%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · v2.0.0
T.J. Hockenson Under 4.5 receptionsLoss · 13
-122 DraftKingsProj 3.257.1%EV +4.0%Value
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · v2.0.0
T.J. Hockenson Under 36.5 receiving yardsLoss · 119
-112 DraftKingsProj 28.354.8%EV +3.7%Value
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · v2.0.0
Malik Washington Under 4.5 rushing yardsWin · 3
-114 DraftKingsProj 5.455.3%EV +3.8%Value
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Malik Willis Over 28.5 rushing yardsLoss · 11
-110 DraftKingsProj 32.749.7%EV -5.1%Pass
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Aaron Jones Under 67.5 rushing yardsLoss · 94
-112 DraftKingsProj 60.954.8%EV +3.7%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Jaylen Wright Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 0
-225 DraftKingsProj 0.470.3%EV +1.6%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Malik Washington Under 37.5 receiving yardsLoss · 67
-114 DraftKingsProj 33.155.0%EV +3.3%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Aaron Jones Under 2.5 receptionsLoss · 4
+132 DraftKingsProj 245.6%EV +5.7%Value
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Aaron Jones Under 18.5 receiving yardsLoss · 34
-109 DraftKingsProj 13.954.5%EV +4.5%Value
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Kyler Murray Under 19.5 rushing yardsWin · 16
-110 theScore BetProj 21.850.1%EV -4.3%Pass
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Jaylen Wright Under 23.5 rushing yardsWin · 7
-110 DraftKingsProj 21.153.4%EV +1.9%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Ollie Gordon II Under 29.5 rushing yardsLoss · 100
-110 theScore BetProj 17.653.1%EV +1.4%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Chris Bell Under 2.5 receptionsWin · 0
-110 DraftKingsProj 1.856.1%EV +7.2%Value
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Greg Dulcich Under 2.5 receptionsVoid
+129 DraftKingsProj 343.2%EV -1.1%Pass
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Malik Washington Under 3.5 receptionsLoss · 5
+114 DraftKingsProj 3.648.5%EV +3.7%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Greg Dulcich Over 28.5 receiving yardsVoid
-110 DraftKingsProj 35.453.8%EV +2.6%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Chris Bell Under 32.5 receiving yardsWin · 0
-114 DraftKingsProj 31.853.7%EV +0.7%Pass
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Malik Willis Over 169.5 passing yardsLoss · 85
-111 DraftKingsProj 189.750.5%EV -3.9%Pass
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Kyler Murray Under 204.5 passing yardsLoss · 247
-111 DraftKingsProj 144.254.0%EV +2.7%Lean
Dolphins@Vikings · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · v2.0.0
Tyler Higbee Under 3.5 receptionsLoss · 5
-147 NovigProj 3.257.9%EV -2.7%Pass
Rams@Eagles · saved Oct 4, 11:07 AM · v2.0.0

Pick	Odds	Proj	Prob		Rating		Result
Bo Nix Under 19.5 rushing yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	16.3	55.3%	+3.8%	Value high confidence	-113	Win · 10
RJ Harvey Over 21.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	28.1	51.7%	-2.9%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Win · 68
Brock Purdy Over 16.5 rushing yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	22.4	53.9%	+2.5%	Lean high confidence	-117	Win · 29
J.K. Dobbins Under 59.5 rushing yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	60.5	51.9%	-1.3%	Pass high confidence	-111	Win · 40
Christian McCaffrey Under 64.5 rushing yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-105 theScore Bet	60.8	53.8%	+5.0%	Value high confidence	-125	Win · 52
Pat Bryant Under 2.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-147 DraftKings	2.2	59.0%	-0.8%	Pass high confidence	-154	Loss · 3
Evan Engram Under 2.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-120 DraftKings	2.3	55.6%	+1.9%	Lean high confidence	-149	Win · 1
Courtland Sutton Over 3.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	+115 theScore Bet	3.6	45.1%	-3.1%	Pass high confidence	+115	Loss · 1
RJ Harvey Over 3.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	+102 FanDuel	3.9	49.3%	-0.4%	Pass medium confidence	+102	Win · 10
Jaylen Waddle Under 4.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	3.9	57.6%	+8.6%	Strong value high confidence	-121	Loss · 5
Christian McCaffrey Over 4.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	5	53.3%	+0.9%	Pass high confidence	-157	Loss · 3
George Kittle Under 4.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	+115 theScore Bet	4.6	47.9%	+3.1%	Lean high confidence	+110	Win · 4
Evan Engram Under 17.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	21.9	51.3%	-2.8%	Pass high confidence	-112	Win · 6
Pat Bryant Under 22.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	26.8	50.5%	-3.6%	Pass high confidence	-110	Loss · 47
Christian McCaffrey Over 38.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	44.8	51.0%	-3.4%	Pass high confidence	-111	Loss · 18
Jaylen Waddle Under 56.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	54	54.6%	+3.8%	Value high confidence	-114	Win · 35
George Kittle Under 64.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	55.7	54.6%	+4.2%	Lean high confidence	-114	Loss · 70
Tai Felton Under 12.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · model v2.0.0	+104 Novig	0.8	50.4%	+2.8%	Lean low confidence	+104	Loss · 14
Jauan Jennings Under 26.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · model v2.0.0	-104 Novig	2.1	51.3%	+0.6%	Pass low confidence	-104	Win · 8
Jordan Addison Under 62.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	40.5	54.8%	+2.9%	Lean high confidence	-113	Win · 52
Ryan Miller Over 6.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · model v2.0.0	-109 DraftKings	19.2	53.3%	+2.2%	Lean medium confidence	-113	Loss · 0
Ryan Miller Under 0.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	+145 DraftKings	0.8	42.0%	+2.9%	Lean medium confidence	+110	Win · 0
Ollie Gordon II Under 1.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-201 DraftKings	0.9	66.8%	-0.0%	Pass medium confidence	-201	Loss · 2
Tai Felton Under 1.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-126 DraftKings	0.5	56.4%	+1.3%	Lean medium confidence	-102	Win · 1
Kevin Coleman Jr. Under 1.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	+108 FanDuel	0.6	47.7%	-0.8%	Pass low confidence	-114	Win · 1
Jauan Jennings Under 2.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-123 DraftKings	2.2	56.2%	+1.9%	Lean medium confidence	-133	Win · 1
Jaylen Wright Under 5.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-102 FanDuel	3.3	53.1%	+5.1%	Lean high confidence	+100	Win · 0
Ollie Gordon II Under 5.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-103 DraftKings	3.9	52.6%	+3.7%	Lean medium confidence	-114	Win · 0
Kevin Coleman Jr. Under 16.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	2.5	51.8%	-1.9%	Pass low confidence	-107	Win · 3
Jordan Addison Under 4.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · model v2.0.0	-147 DraftKings	2.7	61.2%	+2.9%	Lean high confidence	-133	Win · 4
T.J. Hockenson Under 4.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · model v2.0.0	-122 DraftKings	3.2	57.1%	+4.0%	Value high confidence	-136	Loss · 13
T.J. Hockenson Under 36.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	28.3	54.8%	+3.7%	Value high confidence	-111	Loss · 119
Malik Washington Under 4.5 rushing yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	5.4	55.3%	+3.8%	Value high confidence	-107	Win · 3
Malik Willis Over 28.5 rushing yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	32.7	49.7%	-5.1%	Pass high confidence	-114	Loss · 11
Aaron Jones Under 67.5 rushing yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	60.9	54.8%	+3.7%	Lean high confidence	-110	Loss · 94
Jaylen Wright Under 1.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-225 DraftKings	0.4	70.3%	+1.6%	Lean high confidence	-244	Win · 0
Malik Washington Under 37.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	33.1	55.0%	+3.3%	Lean high confidence	-114	Loss · 67
Aaron Jones Under 2.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	+132 DraftKings	2	45.6%	+5.7%	Value high confidence	-168	Loss · 4
Aaron Jones Under 18.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-109 DraftKings	13.9	54.5%	+4.5%	Value high confidence	-113	Loss · 34
Kyler Murray Under 19.5 rushing yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	21.8	50.1%	-4.3%	Pass low confidence	-140	Win · 16
Jaylen Wright Under 23.5 rushing yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	21.1	53.4%	+1.9%	Lean medium confidence	-108	Win · 7
Ollie Gordon II Under 29.5 rushing yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	17.6	53.1%	+1.4%	Lean medium confidence	-125	Loss · 100
Chris Bell Under 2.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	1.8	56.1%	+7.2%	Value medium confidence	-112	Win · 0
Greg Dulcich Under 2.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	+129 DraftKings	3	43.2%	-1.1%	Pass high confidence	+129	Void
Malik Washington Under 3.5 receptions Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	+114 DraftKings	3.6	48.5%	+3.7%	Lean high confidence	-132	Loss · 5
Greg Dulcich Over 28.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	35.4	53.8%	+2.6%	Lean high confidence	-110	Void
Chris Bell Under 32.5 receiving yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	31.8	53.7%	+0.7%	Pass medium confidence	-114	Win · 0
Malik Willis Over 169.5 passing yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	189.7	50.5%	-3.9%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Loss · 85
Kyler Murray Under 204.5 passing yards Dolphins@Vikings · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 3:53 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	144.2	54.0%	+2.7%	Lean medium confidence	-113	Loss · 247
Tyler Higbee Under 3.5 receptions Rams@Eagles · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 4, 11:07 AM · model v2.0.0	-147 Novig	3.2	57.9%	-2.7%	Pass medium confidence	-133	Loss · 5

Past performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.