PrizePicks · Underdog · Pick6 · NFL · NBA · and more · 21+
Stop guessing on your pick'em entries.
Forbidden Picks compares pick'em lines against sportsbook markets to find mispriced props, estimate each pick's real chance, calculate expected value, and size bets to your bankroll.
Every prediction is timestamped and saved before kickoff with its price, projection and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited or removed after.
View full track recordPast performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.
Check your entry
Building one right now? Add your picks and see its real chance to hit, its EV, and stronger swaps. No account needed.
Add the picks you're thinking of playing. Each one is priced against the sportsbooks' fair odds.
Chances come from the sportsbooks' prices on lines scanned in the last few hours. Payouts are the apps' standard ones; boosted or discounted picks change them. 21+.
How Forbidden Picks works
The same steps run on every line, for every user. No hunches and no hand-picked favorites.
- 01
Pick'em line
Start from the line on PrizePicks, Underdog or Pick6.
- 02
Compare the sportsbooks
Price the same player and stat at up to 7 sportsbooks and exchanges.
- 03
Estimate the true chance
Remove each book's margin, blend the consensus with a stats projection, and check it against the model's past calibration.
- 04
Calculate expected value
Compare that chance with what the entry pays. Positive EV means it pays more than it should.
- 05
Rate the opportunity
Strong Value, Value, Lean or Pass, with a separate data-confidence grade.
- 06
Size the bet
A small, capped fraction of your bankroll, inside your daily limits. Never more after a loss.
Built on: sportsbook , from market consensus, player projections, , line shopping, , and .
What's inside
Entry Analyzer→
Check any pick'em entry: its real chance to hit, EV, weak legs and stronger swaps.
EV Finder→
Props where the estimated chance beats the price, across every game you scan.
Line Shopping→
The best price for every bet across your legal sportsbooks.
Arbitrage Scanner→
Prices that disagree enough to profit either way. Rare, and shown honestly.
Bankroll Manager→
Stakes sized to your bankroll, daily and loss limits, and take-a-break tools.
Model Track Record→
Every prediction, its price and its final result, including the losses.
Market intelligence
Sportsbooks set sharper prices than pick'em apps, and they move first when news breaks. Forbidden Picks reads the consensus across books with each one's removed, tracks how lines move toward kickoff, and flags pick'em lines that haven't caught up.
A pick only counts as value when several books agree. One outlier price is treated as a likely stale line, not an edge.
Built around risk, not volume
Bet sizes are a small, capped fraction of your bankroll, and daily and loss limits are built in. Sizes never go up because you lost; there's no chasing. Take a break for 24 hours, 7 days or 30 days whenever you want.
| Profile | Per day | Per parlay | Per straight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 3% | 0.5% | 1% |
| Moderate | 5% | 1.0% | 2% |
| Aggressive | 20% | 1.5% | 3% |
Verified transparency
Every model prediction is saved before its game begins and can't be edited after. Each record keeps:
- Timestamp
- Player
- Market
- Line
- Pick
- Projection
- Estimated probability
- Sportsbook price
- EV
- Model version
- Final result
- Closing line value