Track record

Every model prediction is saved before kickoff with its price, projection, probability and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited after the fact. Current model v2.0.0.

Live verified recordEstablished sample

Last graded Oct 5, 5:57 AM

RECORD

275–233

508 graded

54.1%

+22.46

1 unit per prediction

+4.4%

+0.6%

STREAK

30 pending

Rated Value or better only: 56–47 · +5.71uDeveloping sample

Sep 29Cumulative units, 1 unit per predictionOct 5

Every prediction is timestamped and saved before kickoff with its price, projection and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited or removed after.

500 verified predictions reached. Next milestone: 1,000 graded (492 to go).

Past performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.

By prop typebest and worst, nothing hidden

Receiving yardsDeveloping sample

106–86

55.2%+4.8% ROICLV -0.0%

ReceptionsDeveloping sample

104–87

54.5%+7.9% ROICLV +1.1%

Rushing yardsEarly results

53–42

55.8%+5.7% ROICLV +0.1%

Passing yardsEarly results

12–18

40.0%-24.1% ROICLV -0.0%

Small sample sizes. Prop types with under 100 graded predictions haven't shown long-term performance yet; a few results either way swing these numbers a lot.

Closing line value282 with a comparable close

compares the price saved before the game with the market's final price at the same line. Beating the close consistently is one of the best signs a model finds value before the market does, and it shows up long before win rates settle.

Avg CLV

+0.6%

Beat the close

42%

of graded predictions

NFL CLV

+0.6%

282 graded

Breakdownmarket / prop type

Group	Graded	W–L–P	Win rate	Units	ROI	Avg edge	Avg proj. error	Avg CLV
Passing yards	30	12–18	40.0%	-7.24u	-24.1%	-0.3%	79.9	-0.0%
Receiving yards	192	106–86	55.2%	+9.23u	+4.8%	+0.1%	23.4	-0.0%
Receptions	191	104–87	54.5%	+15.04u	+7.9%	+0.5%	1.7	+1.1%
Rushing yards	95	53–42	55.8%	+5.43u	+5.7%	+0.3%	17.9	+0.1%

Calibration

When the model says 60%, it should win about 60% of the time. Actual below predicted means overconfident; above means underconfident. A bucket needs 50+ results before its gap means much.

Predicted	Graded	Avg predicted	Actual	Gap
Under 50%	90	44.7%	52.2%	+7.5%
50–54%	324	52.7%	53.1%	+0.4%
55–59%	64	56.7%	57.8%	+1.1%
60–64%	20	62.7%	75.0%	+12.3%
65–69%	9	66.5%	33.3%	-33.1%
70%+	1	70.3%	100.0%	+29.7%

Bar: actual win rate. Green tick: average predicted probability.

Backtest a selection rule

Replays only predictions saved before their games started, so a rule can't use information that didn't exist at bet time. Uses the sport, market, model and dates above.

Every prediction51–100 of 567

Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 76.5 receiving yardsWin · 75
-113 DraftKingsProj 82.151.0%EV -3.9%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 2:54 AM · v2.0.0
Bryce Young Under 246.5 passing yardsLoss · 329
-111 DraftKingsProj 246.452.0%EV -1.1%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 2:54 AM · v2.0.0
Bryce Young Under 12.5 rushing yardsWin · 3
-114 FanDuelProj 10.255.4%EV +4.1%Lean
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Isaac TeSlaa Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 4
-122 FanDuelProj 1.553.4%EV -2.8%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Chuba Hubbard Under 2.5 receptionsWin · 1
+120 DraftKingsProj 2.447.6%EV +4.8%Lean
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Jameson Williams Over 3.5 receptionsWin · 6
-102 FanDuelProj 3.748.1%EV -4.8%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Sam LaPorta Under 4.5 receptionsLoss · 8
-118 DraftKingsProj 4.651.4%EV -5.0%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 4.5 receptionsLoss · 4
-121 DraftKingsProj 5.253.3%EV -2.7%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 6.5 receptionsLoss · 8
+115 DraftKingsProj 7.343.9%EV -5.7%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Isaac TeSlaa Over 17.5 receiving yardsWin · 95
-108 DraftKingsProj 24.150.8%EV -2.1%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Chuba Hubbard Under 18.5 receiving yardsWin · 7
-112 DraftKingsProj 17.854.8%EV +3.7%Value
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 35.5 receiving yardsLoss · 31
-109 DraftKingsProj 43.450.6%EV -2.9%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Jameson Williams Under 50.5 receiving yardsLoss · 102
-114 DraftKingsProj 57.951.0%EV -4.3%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Jared Goff Over 260.5 passing yardsWin · 412
-111 DraftKingsProj 271.251.5%EV -2.2%Pass
Lions@Panthers · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · v2.0.0
Emanuel Wilson Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 3
-180 theScore BetProj 0.565.6%EV +2.1%Lean
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 4, 6:21 PM · v2.0.0
Elijah Arroyo Under 1.5 receptionsVoid
-420 theScore BetProj 0.975.1%EV -7.0%Pass
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 4, 5:09 PM · v2.0.0
Mike Evans Under 3.5 receptionsLoss · 5
+104 FanDuelProj 3.451.3%EV +4.7%Value
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 4, 5:09 PM · v2.0.0
Mike Evans Under 44.5 receiving yardsLoss · 76
-113 FanDuelProj 41.854.8%EV +3.3%Value
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 4, 3:07 PM · v2.0.0
Deebo Samuel Under 3.5 receptionsLoss · 5
-137 DraftKingsProj 3.457.1%EV -1.3%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 4, 12:07 PM · v2.0.0
Deebo Samuel Over 34.5 receiving yardsLoss · 26
-111 DraftKingsProj 41.750.8%EV -3.4%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 4, 12:07 PM · v2.0.0
Omarion Hampton Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 2
-156 DraftKingsProj 1.760.3%EV -1.0%Pass
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 4, 3:01 AM · v2.0.0
George Holani Under 35.5 rushing yardsWin · 18
-113 FanDuelProj 13.954.8%EV +3.3%Lean
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 3, 8:53 PM · v2.0.0
Omarion Hampton Under 5.5 receiving yardsLoss · 8
-108 FanDuelProj 10.851.6%EV -0.6%Pass
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · v2.0.0
Brock Purdy Over 232.5 passing yardsLoss · 218
-113 DraftKingsProj 26451.0%EV -3.9%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · v2.0.0
Keaton Mitchell Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 5
-111 DraftKingsProj 154.6%EV +3.9%Lean
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 2, 10:05 PM · v2.0.0
Keaton Mitchell Under 10.5 receiving yardsLoss · 24
-110 theScore BetProj 554.3%EV +3.7%Lean
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · v2.0.0
Troy Franklin Over 0.5 receptionsVoid
-199 DraftKingsProj 267.6%EV +1.5%Lean
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · v2.0.0
Adam Trautman Over 0.5 receptionsLoss · 0
-205 FanDuelProj 1.767.0%EV -0.3%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · v2.0.0
Cody White Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 2
-200 FanDuelProj 0.968.5%EV +2.7%Lean
Chiefs@Raiders · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Cody White Under 9.5 receiving yardsLoss · 36
-107 DraftKingsProj 1451.4%EV -0.5%Pass
Chiefs@Raiders · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Adam Trautman Over 5.5 receiving yardsLoss · 0
-111 DraftKingsProj 14.853.5%EV +1.7%Lean
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Troy Franklin Over 5.5 receiving yardsVoid
-113 DraftKingsProj 23.954.9%EV +3.5%Value
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · v2.0.0
Tyquan Thornton Over 20.5 receiving yardsWin · 111
-112 DraftKingsProj 32.652.2%EV -1.2%Pass
Chiefs@Raiders · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · v2.0.0
Kaelon Black Over 23.5 rushing yardsLoss · 13
-111 DraftKingsProj 34.953.4%EV +1.6%Lean
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · v2.0.0
Sam Darnold Under 4.5 rushing yardsLoss · 6
-110 theScore BetProj 3.853.3%EV +1.8%Lean
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Keaton Mitchell Over 16.5 rushing yardsWin · 39
-112 DraftKingsProj 27.855.1%EV +4.4%Value
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Tory Horton Over 1.5 receptionsLoss · 1
+142 FanDuelProj 1.943.1%EV +4.2%Value
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
George Holani Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 1
-151 DraftKingsProj 1.458.1%EV -3.4%Pass
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
George Holani Under 7.5 receiving yardsWin · 2
-108 DraftKingsProj 11.749.7%EV -4.2%Pass
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Tory Horton Over 11.5 receiving yardsLoss · 6
-114 FanDuelProj 25.853.9%EV +1.2%Lean
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Rashid Shaheed Under 21.5 receiving yardsWin · 20
-114 DraftKingsProj 27.852.6%EV -1.3%Pass
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Cooper Kupp Over 24.5 receiving yardsLoss · 13
-110 DraftKingsProj 33.654.6%EV +4.2%Value
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Sam Darnold Under 233.5 passing yardsWin · 168
-113 DraftKingsProj 225.553.5%EV +0.9%Pass
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Kenneth Walker III Under 89.5 rushing yardsLoss · 177
-115 BetMGMProj 93.551.5%EV -3.7%Pass
Chiefs@Raiders · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Patrick Mahomes Over 236.5 passing yardsLoss · 225
-114 FanDuelProj 251.852.5%EV -1.5%Pass
Chiefs@Raiders · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Kyle Juszczyk Over 1.5 receptionsWin · 2
+165 DraftKingsProj 1.539.5%EV +4.6%Value
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Kyle Juszczyk Over 8.5 receiving yardsWin · 28
-109 DraftKingsProj 14.854.5%EV +4.5%Value
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Courtland Sutton Under 38.5 receiving yardsWin · 4
-114 FanDuelProj 44.951.4%EV -3.5%Pass
Broncos@49ers · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · v2.0.0
Rashid Shaheed Under 2.5 receptionsWin · 1
-180 FanDuelProj 2.261.8%EV -3.8%Pass
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0
Jadarian Price Under 9.5 receiving yardsVoid
-110 theScore BetProj 7.153.1%EV +1.4%Lean
Chargers@Seahawks · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · v2.0.0

Pick	Odds	Proj	Prob		Rating		Result
Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 76.5 receiving yards Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 2:54 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	82.1	51.0%	-3.9%	Pass high confidence	-115	Win · 75
Bryce Young Under 246.5 passing yards Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 2:54 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	246.4	52.0%	-1.1%	Pass high confidence	-113	Loss · 329
Bryce Young Under 12.5 rushing yards Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	10.2	55.4%	+4.1%	Lean high confidence	-113	Win · 3
Isaac TeSlaa Under 1.5 receptions Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-122 FanDuel	1.5	53.4%	-2.8%	Pass high confidence	-140	Loss · 4
Chuba Hubbard Under 2.5 receptions Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	+120 DraftKings	2.4	47.6%	+4.8%	Lean high confidence	+126	Win · 1
Jameson Williams Over 3.5 receptions Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-102 FanDuel	3.7	48.1%	-4.8%	Pass high confidence	-102	Win · 6
Sam LaPorta Under 4.5 receptions Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-118 DraftKings	4.6	51.4%	-5.0%	Pass high confidence	-149	Loss · 8
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 4.5 receptions Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-121 DraftKings	5.2	53.3%	-2.7%	Pass high confidence	-125	Loss · 4
Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 6.5 receptions Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	+115 DraftKings	7.3	43.9%	-5.7%	Pass high confidence	-146	Loss · 8
Isaac TeSlaa Over 17.5 receiving yards Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-108 DraftKings	24.1	50.8%	-2.1%	Pass high confidence	-112	Win · 95
Chuba Hubbard Under 18.5 receiving yards Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	17.8	54.8%	+3.7%	Value high confidence	-112	Win · 7
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 35.5 receiving yards Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-109 DraftKings	43.4	50.6%	-2.9%	Pass high confidence	-113	Loss · 31
Jameson Williams Under 50.5 receiving yards Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	57.9	51.0%	-4.3%	Pass high confidence	-114	Loss · 102
Jared Goff Over 260.5 passing yards Lions@Panthers · 10/5/2026 · saved Sep 30, 1:41 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	271.2	51.5%	-2.2%	Pass high confidence	-112	Win · 412
Emanuel Wilson Under 1.5 receptions Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 4, 6:21 PM · model v2.0.0	-180 theScore Bet	0.5	65.6%	+2.1%	Lean high confidence	-180	Loss · 3
Elijah Arroyo Under 1.5 receptions Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 4, 5:09 PM · model v2.0.0	-420 theScore Bet	0.9	75.1%	-7.0%	Pass medium confidence	-420	Void
Mike Evans Under 3.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 4, 5:09 PM · model v2.0.0	+104 FanDuel	3.4	51.3%	+4.7%	Value high confidence	+104	Loss · 5
Mike Evans Under 44.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 4, 3:07 PM · model v2.0.0	-113 FanDuel	41.8	54.8%	+3.3%	Value high confidence	-113	Loss · 76
Deebo Samuel Under 3.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 4, 12:07 PM · model v2.0.0	-137 DraftKings	3.4	57.1%	-1.3%	Pass high confidence	-159	Loss · 5
Deebo Samuel Over 34.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 4, 12:07 PM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	41.7	50.8%	-3.4%	Pass high confidence	-112	Loss · 26
Omarion Hampton Under 1.5 receptions Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 4, 3:01 AM · model v2.0.0	-156 DraftKings	1.7	60.3%	-1.0%	Pass high confidence	-141	Loss · 2
George Holani Under 35.5 rushing yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 8:53 PM · model v2.0.0	-113 FanDuel	13.9	54.8%	+3.3%	Lean high confidence	-113	Win · 18
Omarion Hampton Under 5.5 receiving yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 6:30 PM · model v2.0.0	-108 FanDuel	10.8	51.6%	-0.6%	Pass high confidence	-106	Loss · 8
Brock Purdy Over 232.5 passing yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 3, 3:15 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	264	51.0%	-3.9%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Loss · 218
Keaton Mitchell Under 1.5 receptions Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 10:05 PM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	1	54.6%	+3.9%	Lean high confidence	-106	Loss · 5
Keaton Mitchell Under 10.5 receiving yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	5	54.3%	+3.7%	Lean high confidence	-110	Loss · 24
Troy Franklin Over 0.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · model v2.0.0	-199 DraftKings	2	67.6%	+1.5%	Lean high confidence	-188	Void
Adam Trautman Over 0.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 8:48 PM · model v2.0.0	-205 FanDuel	1.7	67.0%	-0.3%	Pass medium confidence	-182	Loss · 0
Cody White Under 1.5 receptions Chiefs@Raiders · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-200 FanDuel	0.9	68.5%	+2.7%	Lean high confidence	-200	Loss · 2
Cody White Under 9.5 receiving yards Chiefs@Raiders · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-107 DraftKings	14	51.4%	-0.5%	Pass high confidence	-110	Loss · 36
Adam Trautman Over 5.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	14.8	53.5%	+1.7%	Lean medium confidence	-113	Loss · 0
Troy Franklin Over 5.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 6:46 PM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	23.9	54.9%	+3.5%	Value high confidence	-104	Void
Tyquan Thornton Over 20.5 receiving yards Chiefs@Raiders · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	32.6	52.2%	-1.2%	Pass high confidence	-111	Win · 111
Kaelon Black Over 23.5 rushing yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 2, 2:29 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	34.9	53.4%	+1.6%	Lean medium confidence	-110	Loss · 13
Sam Darnold Under 4.5 rushing yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	3.8	53.3%	+1.8%	Lean medium confidence	-110	Loss · 6
Keaton Mitchell Over 16.5 rushing yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-112 DraftKings	27.8	55.1%	+4.4%	Value high confidence	-109	Win · 39
Tory Horton Over 1.5 receptions Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	+142 FanDuel	1.9	43.1%	+4.2%	Value medium confidence	-250	Loss · 1
George Holani Under 1.5 receptions Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-151 DraftKings	1.4	58.1%	-3.4%	Pass high confidence	+112	Win · 1
George Holani Under 7.5 receiving yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-108 DraftKings	11.7	49.7%	-4.2%	Pass high confidence	-107	Win · 2
Tory Horton Over 11.5 receiving yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	25.8	53.9%	+1.2%	Lean medium confidence	-113	Loss · 6
Rashid Shaheed Under 21.5 receiving yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	27.8	52.6%	-1.3%	Pass high confidence	-114	Win · 20
Cooper Kupp Over 24.5 receiving yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	33.6	54.6%	+4.2%	Value high confidence	-116	Loss · 13
Sam Darnold Under 233.5 passing yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	225.5	53.5%	+0.9%	Pass high confidence	-111	Win · 168
Kenneth Walker III Under 89.5 rushing yards Chiefs@Raiders · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-115 BetMGM	93.5	51.5%	-3.7%	Pass high confidence	-115	Loss · 177
Patrick Mahomes Over 236.5 passing yards Chiefs@Raiders · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	251.8	52.5%	-1.5%	Pass high confidence	-113	Loss · 225
Kyle Juszczyk Over 1.5 receptions Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	+165 DraftKings	1.5	39.5%	+4.6%	Value high confidence	+140	Win · 2
Kyle Juszczyk Over 8.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-109 DraftKings	14.8	54.5%	+4.5%	Value high confidence	-119	Win · 28
Courtland Sutton Under 38.5 receiving yards Broncos@49ers · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 10:42 PM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	44.9	51.4%	-3.5%	Pass high confidence	-113	Win · 4
Rashid Shaheed Under 2.5 receptions Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-180 FanDuel	2.2	61.8%	-3.8%	Pass high confidence	-166	Win · 1
Jadarian Price Under 9.5 receiving yards Chargers@Seahawks · 10/4/2026 · saved Oct 1, 4:24 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	7.1	53.1%	+1.4%	Lean medium confidence	-110	Void

Past performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.