Track record

Every model prediction is saved before kickoff with its price, projection, probability and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited after the fact. Current model v2.0.0.

Live verified recordEstablished sample

Last graded Oct 5, 5:57 AM

RECORD

275–233

508 graded

54.1%

+22.46

1 unit per prediction

+4.4%

+0.6%

STREAK

63 pending

Rated Value or better only: 56–47 · +5.71uDeveloping sample

Sep 29Cumulative units, 1 unit per predictionOct 5

Every prediction is timestamped and saved before kickoff with its price, projection and model version, then graded from official stats. Nothing is edited or removed after.

500 verified predictions reached. Next milestone: 1,000 graded (492 to go).

Past performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.

By prop typebest and worst, nothing hidden

Receiving yardsDeveloping sample

106–86

55.2%+4.8% ROICLV -0.0%

ReceptionsDeveloping sample

104–87

54.5%+7.9% ROICLV +1.1%

Rushing yardsEarly results

53–42

55.8%+5.7% ROICLV +0.1%

Passing yardsEarly results

12–18

40.0%-24.1% ROICLV -0.0%

Small sample sizes. Prop types with under 100 graded predictions haven't shown long-term performance yet; a few results either way swing these numbers a lot.

Closing line value282 with a comparable close

compares the price saved before the game with the market's final price at the same line. Beating the close consistently is one of the best signs a model finds value before the market does, and it shows up long before win rates settle.

Avg CLV

+0.6%

Beat the close

42%

of graded predictions

NFL CLV

+0.6%

282 graded

Breakdownmarket / prop type

Group	Graded	W–L–P	Win rate	Units	ROI	Avg edge	Avg proj. error	Avg CLV
Passing yards	30	12–18	40.0%	-7.24u	-24.1%	-0.3%	79.9	-0.0%
Receiving yards	192	106–86	55.2%	+9.23u	+4.8%	+0.1%	23.4	-0.0%
Receptions	191	104–87	54.5%	+15.04u	+7.9%	+0.5%	1.7	+1.1%
Rushing yards	95	53–42	55.8%	+5.43u	+5.7%	+0.3%	17.9	+0.1%

Calibration

When the model says 60%, it should win about 60% of the time. Actual below predicted means overconfident; above means underconfident. A bucket needs 50+ results before its gap means much.

Predicted	Graded	Avg predicted	Actual	Gap
Under 50%	90	44.7%	52.2%	+7.5%
50–54%	324	52.7%	53.1%	+0.4%
55–59%	64	56.7%	57.8%	+1.1%
60–64%	20	62.7%	75.0%	+12.3%
65–69%	9	66.5%	33.3%	-33.1%
70%+	1	70.3%	100.0%	+29.7%

Bar: actual win rate. Green tick: average predicted probability.

Backtest a selection rule

Replays only predictions saved before their games started, so a rule can't use information that didn't exist at bet time. Uses the sport, market, model and dates above.

Every prediction551–600 of 600

Deshaun Watson Over 29.5 rushing yardsLoss · 22
-114 FanDuelProj 3451.1%EV -4.0%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Darnell Washington Over 15.5 receiving yardsWin · 27
-114 FanDuelProj 27.655.3%EV +3.8%Value
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Pat Freiermuth Under 29.5 receiving yardsWin · 17
-110 theScore BetProj 34.850.0%EV -4.6%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
KC Concepcion Under 33.5 receiving yardsLoss · 64
-110 theScore BetProj 26.253.1%EV +1.4%Lean
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Jaylen Warren Under 21.5 receiving yardsLoss · 33
-110 theScore BetProj 26.350.3%EV -3.9%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Harold Fannin Jr. Under 40.5 receiving yardsWin · 27
-110 theScore BetProj 4351.1%EV -2.5%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 rushing yardsLoss · 0
-109 DraftKingsProj 4.454.5%EV +4.5%Value
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Quinshon Judkins Under 56.5 rushing yardsWin · 53
-111 DraftKingsProj 50.755.2%EV +4.9%Value
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Jerry Jeudy Over 1.5 receptionsWin · 3
+137 DraftKingsProj 2.143.5%EV +3.0%Lean
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Darnell Washington Over 1.5 receptionsWin · 3
-188 DraftKingsProj 2.262.2%EV -4.7%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Denzel Boston Under 2.5 receptionsLoss · 4
+128 DraftKingsProj 343.5%EV -0.7%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Jaylen Warren Under 3.5 receptionsWin · 3
-143 DraftKingsProj 359.8%EV +1.7%Lean
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Michael Pittman Jr. Under 3.5 receptionsWin · 2
-132 DraftKingsProj 3.654.6%EV -4.0%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Pat Freiermuth Under 3.5 receptionsWin · 3
-105 theScore BetProj 3.153.7%EV +4.9%Value
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
DK Metcalf Over 3.5 receptionsWin · 5
-114 DraftKingsProj 3.851.4%EV -3.4%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
KC Concepcion Over 3.5 receptionsWin · 5
-118 FanDuelProj 3.952.6%EV -2.9%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Harold Fannin Jr. Under 4.5 receptionsWin · 3
-114 FanDuelProj 4.452.3%EV -1.9%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Jerry Jeudy Over 13.5 receiving yardsWin · 36
-114 DraftKingsProj 25.652.7%EV -1.0%Pass
Steelers@Browns · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · v2.0.0
Will Shipley Over 2.5 receiving yardsWin · 11
-102 FanDuelProj 5.352.4%EV +3.8%Value
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 29, 12:15 AM · v2.0.0
Darius Cooper Over 4.5 receiving yardsLoss · 0
-111 DraftKingsProj 13.154.0%EV +2.7%Lean
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 29, 12:15 AM · v2.0.0
Johnny Mundt Under 9.5 receiving yardsWin · 4
-113 FanDuelProj 10.252.4%EV -1.3%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · v2.0.0
Kyle Monangai Over 39.5 rushing yardsLoss · 31
-115 DraftKingsProj 51.251.0%EV -4.7%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · v2.0.0
Darius Cooper Over 0.5 receptionsLoss · 0
-132 FanDuelProj 1.257.5%EV +1.0%Lean
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · v2.0.0
Kyle Monangai Over 1.5 receptionsLoss · 0
+121 DraftKingsProj 1.543.5%EV -3.9%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · v2.0.0
Johnny Mundt Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 1
-153 DraftKingsProj 164.7%EV +7.0%Strong value
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · v2.0.0
Kyle Monangai Over 8.5 receiving yardsLoss · 0
-110 DraftKingsProj 1451.6%EV -1.6%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · v2.0.0
Luther Burden III Over 34.5 receiving yardsWin · 61
-115 BetMGMProj 48.452.1%EV -2.6%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Saquon Barkley Under 13.5 receiving yardsWin · -2
-110 theScore BetProj 13.854.3%EV +3.7%Value
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Dontayvion Wicks Under 43.5 receiving yardsWin · 32
-113 FanDuelProj 37.954.8%EV +3.3%Value
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
D'Andre Swift Over 10.5 receiving yardsLoss · 4
-113 FanDuelProj 19.452.7%EV -0.6%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Tank Bigsby Over 11.5 rushing yardsLoss · 0
-107 DraftKingsProj 25.952.4%EV +1.4%Lean
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Jalen Hurts Under 24.5 rushing yardsLoss · 25
-110 theScore BetProj 25.353.0%EV +1.2%Lean
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
D'Andre Swift Over 61.5 rushing yardsWin · 84
-109 DraftKingsProj 75.452.2%EV +0.2%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Saquon Barkley Under 71.5 rushing yardsLoss · 82
-110 DraftKingsProj 64.354.6%EV +4.2%Value
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Cole Kmet Under 1.5 receptionsWin · 0
-122 FanDuelProj 1.553.0%EV -3.6%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
D'Andre Swift Under 1.5 receptionsLoss · 2
+126 DraftKingsProj 243.0%EV -2.9%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Saquon Barkley Under 2.5 receptionsWin · 1
-154 FanDuelProj 1.963.5%EV +4.8%Value
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Rome Odunze Under 2.5 receptionsLoss · 3
-125 BetMGMProj 2.754.7%EV -1.5%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Makai Lemon Under 2.5 receptionsLoss · 3
-105 BetMGMProj 250.9%EV -0.7%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Kalif Raymond Over 2.5 receptionsWin · 6
-130 FanDuelProj 3.657.1%EV +1.1%Lean
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Dontayvion Wicks Under 3.5 receptionsWin · 2
-160 BetMGMProj 2.763.9%EV +3.8%Value
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Colston Loveland Under 3.5 receptionsLoss · 4
-120 BetMGMProj 3.156.8%EV +4.1%Value
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Luther Burden III Under 3.5 receptionsLoss · 7
-105 theScore BetProj 3.749.0%EV -4.4%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
DeVonta Smith Under 5.5 receptionsLoss · 6
-105 theScore BetProj 5.650.4%EV -1.6%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Cole Kmet Over 9.5 receiving yardsLoss · 0
-108 DraftKingsProj 17.853.1%EV +2.2%Lean
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Kalif Raymond Over 24.5 receiving yardsWin · 90
-110 DraftKingsProj 39.553.7%EV +2.6%Lean
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Rome Odunze Over 25.5 receiving yardsWin · 44
-113 DraftKingsProj 4352.9%EV -0.3%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Makai Lemon Under 26.5 receiving yardsLoss · 29
-113 FanDuelProj 6.152.1%EV -1.8%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
Colston Loveland Under 35.5 receiving yardsWin · 31
-111 DraftKingsProj 38.953.5%EV +1.7%Lean
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0
DeVonta Smith Under 72.5 receiving yardsWin · 65
-113 DraftKingsProj 71.752.8%EV -0.5%Pass
Eagles@Bears · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · v2.0.0

Pick	Odds	Proj	Prob		Rating		Result
Deshaun Watson Over 29.5 rushing yards Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	34	51.1%	-4.0%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Loss · 22
Darnell Washington Over 15.5 receiving yards Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	27.6	55.3%	+3.8%	Value high confidence	-113	Win · 27
Pat Freiermuth Under 29.5 receiving yards Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	34.8	50.0%	-4.6%	Pass high confidence	-115	Win · 17
KC Concepcion Under 33.5 receiving yards Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	26.2	53.1%	+1.4%	Lean medium confidence	-130	Loss · 64
Jaylen Warren Under 21.5 receiving yards Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	26.3	50.3%	-3.9%	Pass high confidence	-120	Loss · 33
Harold Fannin Jr. Under 40.5 receiving yards Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	43	51.1%	-2.5%	Pass high confidence	-110	Win · 27
Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 rushing yards Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-109 DraftKings	4.4	54.5%	+4.5%	Value high confidence	-115	Loss · 0
Quinshon Judkins Under 56.5 rushing yards Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	50.7	55.2%	+4.9%	Value high confidence	-114	Win · 53
Jerry Jeudy Over 1.5 receptions Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	+137 DraftKings	2.1	43.5%	+3.0%	Lean medium confidence	+116	Win · 3
Darnell Washington Over 1.5 receptions Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-188 DraftKings	2.2	62.2%	-4.7%	Pass high confidence	-151	Win · 3
Denzel Boston Under 2.5 receptions Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	+128 DraftKings	3	43.5%	-0.7%	Pass medium confidence	+111	Loss · 4
Jaylen Warren Under 3.5 receptions Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-143 DraftKings	3	59.8%	+1.7%	Lean high confidence	-105	Win · 3
Michael Pittman Jr. Under 3.5 receptions Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-132 DraftKings	3.6	54.6%	-4.0%	Pass medium confidence	-165	Win · 2
Pat Freiermuth Under 3.5 receptions Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-105 theScore Bet	3.1	53.7%	+4.9%	Value high confidence	-160	Win · 3
DK Metcalf Over 3.5 receptions Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	3.8	51.4%	-3.4%	Pass high confidence	-146	Win · 5
KC Concepcion Over 3.5 receptions Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-118 FanDuel	3.9	52.6%	-2.9%	Pass medium confidence	+124	Win · 5
Harold Fannin Jr. Under 4.5 receptions Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 FanDuel	4.4	52.3%	-1.9%	Pass high confidence	-125	Win · 3
Jerry Jeudy Over 13.5 receiving yards Steelers@Browns · 10/2/2026 · saved Sep 29, 1:13 AM · model v2.0.0	-114 DraftKings	25.6	52.7%	-1.0%	Pass medium confidence	-117	Win · 36
Will Shipley Over 2.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 29, 12:15 AM · model v2.0.0	-102 FanDuel	5.3	52.4%	+3.8%	Value medium confidence	-102	Win · 11
Darius Cooper Over 4.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 29, 12:15 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	13.1	54.0%	+2.7%	Lean medium confidence	-111	Loss · 0
Johnny Mundt Under 9.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · model v2.0.0	-113 FanDuel	10.2	52.4%	-1.3%	Pass high confidence	-113	Win · 4
Kyle Monangai Over 39.5 rushing yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · model v2.0.0	-115 DraftKings	51.2	51.0%	-4.7%	Pass high confidence	-115	Loss · 31
Darius Cooper Over 0.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · model v2.0.0	-132 FanDuel	1.2	57.5%	+1.0%	Lean medium confidence	-132	Loss · 0
Kyle Monangai Over 1.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · model v2.0.0	+121 DraftKings	1.5	43.5%	-3.9%	Pass medium confidence	+121	Loss · 0
Johnny Mundt Under 1.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · model v2.0.0	-153 DraftKings	1	64.7%	+7.0%	Strong value high confidence	-153	Win · 1
Kyle Monangai Over 8.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 10:33 PM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	14	51.6%	-1.6%	Pass medium confidence	-110	Loss · 0
Luther Burden III Over 34.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-115 BetMGM	48.4	52.1%	-2.6%	Pass medium confidence	-125	Win · 61
Saquon Barkley Under 13.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	13.8	54.3%	+3.7%	Value high confidence	-125	Win · -2
Dontayvion Wicks Under 43.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 FanDuel	37.9	54.8%	+3.3%	Value high confidence	-113	Win · 32
D'Andre Swift Over 10.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 FanDuel	19.4	52.7%	-0.6%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Loss · 4
Tank Bigsby Over 11.5 rushing yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-107 DraftKings	25.9	52.4%	+1.4%	Lean medium confidence	-114	Loss · 0
Jalen Hurts Under 24.5 rushing yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 theScore Bet	25.3	53.0%	+1.2%	Lean high confidence	-110	Loss · 25
D'Andre Swift Over 61.5 rushing yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-109 DraftKings	75.4	52.2%	+0.2%	Pass medium confidence	-114	Win · 84
Saquon Barkley Under 71.5 rushing yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	64.3	54.6%	+4.2%	Value high confidence	-110	Loss · 82
Cole Kmet Under 1.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-122 FanDuel	1.5	53.0%	-3.6%	Pass medium confidence	-166	Win · 0
D'Andre Swift Under 1.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	+126 DraftKings	2	43.0%	-2.9%	Pass medium confidence	-161	Loss · 2
Saquon Barkley Under 2.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-154 FanDuel	1.9	63.5%	+4.8%	Value high confidence	-180	Win · 1
Rome Odunze Under 2.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-125 BetMGM	2.7	54.7%	-1.5%	Pass medium confidence	-140	Loss · 3
Makai Lemon Under 2.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-105 BetMGM	2	50.9%	-0.7%	Pass low confidence	+100	Loss · 3
Kalif Raymond Over 2.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-130 FanDuel	3.6	57.1%	+1.1%	Lean medium confidence	-114	Win · 6
Dontayvion Wicks Under 3.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-160 BetMGM	2.7	63.9%	+3.8%	Value high confidence	-160	Win · 2
Colston Loveland Under 3.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-120 BetMGM	3.1	56.8%	+4.1%	Value high confidence	-155	Loss · 4
Luther Burden III Under 3.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-105 theScore Bet	3.7	49.0%	-4.4%	Pass medium confidence	-130	Loss · 7
DeVonta Smith Under 5.5 receptions Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-105 theScore Bet	5.6	50.4%	-1.6%	Pass medium confidence	-120	Loss · 6
Cole Kmet Over 9.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-108 DraftKings	17.8	53.1%	+2.2%	Lean medium confidence	-109	Loss · 0
Kalif Raymond Over 24.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-110 DraftKings	39.5	53.7%	+2.6%	Lean medium confidence	-110	Win · 90
Rome Odunze Over 25.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	43	52.9%	-0.3%	Pass medium confidence	-112	Win · 44
Makai Lemon Under 26.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 FanDuel	6.1	52.1%	-1.8%	Pass low confidence	-113	Loss · 29
Colston Loveland Under 35.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-111 DraftKings	38.9	53.5%	+1.7%	Lean high confidence	-111	Win · 31
DeVonta Smith Under 72.5 receiving yards Eagles@Bears · 9/29/2026 · saved Sep 28, 6:50 AM · model v2.0.0	-113 DraftKings	71.7	52.8%	-0.5%	Pass medium confidence	-113	Win · 65

Past performance is no promise of future results. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainties. Sports betting involves financial risk.